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Covid-19

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Online Eagle 3

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Covid Cases 11/23. https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/ and https://thethaiger.com/news

They changed "Number of people vaccinated" to "Number of does administered." About time.
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Online Eagle 3

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Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe: Albert Einstein


Online Eagle 3

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Covid Cases 11/25. https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/

No province cases today.
« Last Edit: November 25, 2021, 06:30:53 PM by Eagle 3 »
Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe: Albert Einstein


Online Roger

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A good article about the RSA variant - direct flights from RSA + 5 are banned from today.

"New COVID variant ‘may sidestep vaccine protection’, Phil Taylor November 25, 2021. A new variant of COVID-19 identified in Botswana with dozens of mutations is being watched closely, amid fears it could be resistant to the effect of currently-used vaccines. The B.1.1.529 variant has more mutations affecting the spike protein targeted by vaccines than any other strain identified to date, although it’s not yet clear if it is more or less transmissible.

There have only been a few confirmed cases so far, including three in Botswana, six in South Africa where surveillance is more robust, and one in Hong Kong in an individual who travelled from South Africa before being tested. The mutations in the spike protein has been described as “really awful” by Tom Pea****, a virologist at Imperial College’s department of infectious disease, in a tweet.

He also said that while case numbers are still very low, B.1.1.529 should be monitored carefully as the mutations suggest it “would be worse antigenically than nearly anything else about.” Prof Francois Balloux, director of the UCL Genetics Institute in London, said that the large number of mutations might indicate the variant evolved “during a chronic infection of an immunocompromised person, possibly in an untreated HIV/AIDS patient.” He also said that it would likely be poorly recognised by neutralising antibodies against the alpha or delta variants, but added it is difficult to predict how transmissible it may be at this stage. “For the time being, it should be closely monitored and analysed, but there is no reason to get overly concerned, unless it starts going up in frequency in the near future,” said Balloux.

One the positive side, there are signs that another variant that was causing concern earlier in the year – B.1.628 – seems to have fizzled out. The strain was identified in the US and drew attention because it was the first evidence of a recombinant form of SARS-CoV2, generated when two strains combine in a con-infected person. There are fears recombination could be a driver for the creation of new, more aggressive strains, but in this case the variant reached a global prevalence of around 0.5% before becoming extinct. “There is no evidence it [was] more transmissible, virulent or better at evading immune recognition than other SARS-CoV-2 lineages,” commented Balloux.
"

https://pharmaphorum.com/news/new-covid-variant-may-sidestep-vaccine-protection/?
''If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough'' - Albert Einstein


Online Eagle 3

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Online Roger

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To my surprise I managed to get into this "Spectator" article - here's Richard Dobbs big 5 thrusts for us to live with Covid :-

" . . . . . . First, we must become much faster in developing, testing, manufacturing, and administering top-up vaccines. Our vaccination programme has operated at a speed never achieved by a vaccination programme before, but it will still have taken us a year and a half to develop, test, manufacture, and vaccinate the UK. If we do really face new vaccine-busting variants, that is still too long a period of potential lockdown. It’s technically possible to manufacture, test for safety, and distribute a new vaccine in around three months. We should target that turnaround time and establish sufficient manufacturing capacity to make enough doses for all of the UK’s population in months – a several fold increase in manufacturing capacity to what we have now. We could even train more of the population to administer a vaccine (apparently, it’s not that hard) so that each post code could have their resident ‘home-guard volunteer vaccinator’ ready to be part of a programme of delivering a million shots a day in a quicker and more cost-effective way than the current programme. We need to find a way of simplifying the administration of the pre-jab questionnaire. We might even explore whether we can identify the features of possible future vaccine busting variants so we can test and stockpile a cocktail of vaccines in case they arrive, allowing us to operate at ‘virus speed’ in our responses.

Second, we must speed up our efforts at encouraging take-up of the vaccine. Roughly 5 per cent of the over-50s still have not had two shots of the vaccine. A few of these have declined the jab for medical reasons (for instance the immunosuppressed), but the vast majority will have declined the vaccine by choice, albeit in many cases influenced by untrue anti-vax propaganda. This number is skewed towards minorities, with around 25 per cent of Blacks and 10 per cent of South Asians over 50 not being vaccinated, as measured by Oxford University’s OpenSafely. In England, this not fully-vaccinated older group is around one million individuals, a group that could be very vulnerable as higher infection rates among the young eventually find the old. The government has tried using ambassadors such as Sir Lenny Henry and set up vaccination centres in mosques. But progress has been painfully slow. At the current rate of progress, it’s going to take over a year to close the gap for some minorities. We should learn from the likes of the Census, which seems to have achieved 97 per cent participation compared with the 80 per cent of over 12 years old who have had at least two vaccine shots. Given the number of patients who catch Covid when in hospital, we should consider whether we really need to wait until April 2022 to make vaccination compulsory for healthcare staff. Italy introduced similar regulations in weeks.

Third, we need to be much faster at stopping the import of variants from overseas. While history shows that dominant variants eventually spread globally, better border controls will give us more time to manufacture treatments, and develop and administer a vaccine should a vaccine-busting variant develop somewhere else in the world. In the last week we have stopped flights from six southern Africa countries and reimposed red-list quarantines. We need to operate at this speed if the new variant spreads around the world – and it has already been reported in Hong Kong, Israel and Belgium. We have to be fast at recommissioning our quarantine hotels and building sufficient capacity in case we have to add more countries to the red list. We have to adopt a much more aggressive track-trace-test-and-isolate approach to all those who have arrived from southern Africa in the last weeks, using data from the passenger locator form to ensure that if the new variant has already arrived, it can be contained.

Fourth, we need to continue pushing on treatments. Operating at ‘government speed’ in April 2021, over a year after the arrival of Covid-19 in the UK, we launched our antiviral taskforce. This taskforce is bringing the focus and execution previously seen with the vaccine taskforce and building on the early UK success finding Dexamethasone. Operating almost at ‘virus speed’, orders for two new antivirals from Merck and Pfizer have already been placed. The taskforce needs to continuing operating at pace to expand the basket of available treatments, especially broad-spectrum antivirals as these are likely to work better on future variants (full disclosure, I have an investment in some vaccine, treatment and testing innovators). But we should also learn from the previous problems with manufacturing the vaccines and the unhelpful squabbles between countries on supply, by gearing up manufacturing though dedicated UK preorders.

Fifth, we need to establish a norm of using a home lateral flow test before attending mass events. We need to create a culture where it is not acceptable to attend large gatherings without having tested first, in the same way as we created a culture where it became socially less acceptable to drive drunk. A programme of self-administered mass-testing is considerably more cost effective than the eye-watering expense of test, trace and isolate. And finally, we are going to be thoughtful about the early reintroduction of some of the Plan-B restrictions around social distancing and other non-pharmaceutical interventions. Historically we did this too slowly and so ended up needing a longer period of fuller lockdown. Instead we should try to introduce those with less pain sooner. For instance, we might want to start mandating the wearing of masks when moving inside buildings and on public transport in England, as they already have in Scotland. We might avoid super-spreading packed trains, undergrounds and offices by encouraging some working from home. We might require continental-style table service over Christmas, so as to avoid the infection sharing melee at the bar.

The Omicron variant could provide us with the jolt to get us operating at a different speed for our vaccinations, treatments, testing and non-pharmaceutical interventions. By doing that we reduce the risk of drastic further lockdowns and, importantly, are ready for what the virus next throws at us. The government might even learn to operate at a faster pace, which would put us in good stead as we set out to address some of the other challenges we face after the pandemic."

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-britain-can-beat-the-omicron-variant
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Online Eagle 3

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Covid Cases 11/27. https://thethaiger.com/news

Provinces with the highest number of new Covid-19 infections over the last 24 hours:

    PROVINCE                TODAY   TOTAL
1   Bangkok                 704     420,065
6   Songkhla                441     59,992
14  Nakhon Si Thammarat     366     39,626
22  Surat Thani             280     24,671
20  Chiang Mai              275     25,720
3   Chonburi                200     107,124
9   Pattani                 182     45,402
5   Prisons                 169     83,556
12  Ratchaburi              168     40,540
2   Samut Prakan            150     128,195

Full provincial Covid-19 figures:

RANK    CENTRAL PROVINCES   TODAY   TOTAL
1   Bangkok                 704     420,065
2   Samut Prakan            150     128,195
4   Samut Sakhon            37      93,739
7   Nonthaburi              99      59,405
13  Pathum Thani            87      39,681
15  Nakhon Pathom           34      34,577
17  Saraburi                73      31,928
19  Ayutthaya               74      31,357
31  Lopburi                 48      17,599
37  Nakhon Sawan            52      15,897
40  Suphan Buri             70      14,293
44  Phetchabun              46      11,001
45  Ang Thong               0       10,879
46  Nakhon Nayok            27      10,822
47  Samut Songkhram         11      10,745
53  Kamphaeng Phet          23      8,106
54  Phitsanulok             62      7,914
58  Sukhothai               2       6,199
60  Phichit                 12      5,265
68  Sing Buri               14      3,415
69  Uthai Thani             1       3,306
72  Chai Nat                25      2,714

RANK NORTHEASTERN PROVINCES TODAY   TOTAL
18  Nakhon Ratchasima       98      31,796
26  Khon Kaen               108     22,088
28  Ubon Ratchathani        110     21,339
29  Udon Thani              58      19,933
32  Surin                   15      17,522
33  Buriram                 11      17,217
34  Sisaket                 43      17,054
41  Roi Et                  36      13,105
43  Maha Sarakham           13      11,148
48  Chaiyaphum              27      10,505
50  Kalasin                 29      9,794
55  Sakon Nakhon            0       7,808
59  Yasothon                7       5,453
62  Nakhon Phanom           8       5,001
63  Nong Bua Lamphu         6       4,543
65  Nong Khai               14      4,344
66  Loei                    7       4,160
70  Amnat Charoen           3       3,048
75  Mukdahan                4       2,417
77  Bueng Kan               3       2,242

RANK    EASTERN PROVINCES   TODAY   TOTAL
3   Chonburi                200     107,124
10  Rayong                  78      44,494
16  Chachoengsao            49      34,423
21  Prachinburi             97      25,051
27  Chanthaburi             52      21,408
36  Sa Kaeo                 59      16,534
52  Trat                    81      8,681

RANK    NORTHERN PROVINCES  TODAY   TOTAL
20  Chiang Mai              275     25,720
61  Chiang Rai              43      5,221
64  Uttaradit               10      4,506
67  Lamphun                 76      3,637
71  Lampang                 9       3,002
73  Nan                     19      2,667
74  Phayao                  16      2,545
76  Mae Hong Son            23      2,405
78  Phrae                   2       1,962

RANK    SOUTHERN PROVINCES  TODAY   TOTAL
6   Songkhla                441     59,992
8   Yala                    105     46,598
9   Pattani                 182     45,402
11  Narathiwat              74      41,091
14  Nakhon Si Thammarat     366     39,626
22  Surat Thani             280     24,671
35  Phuket                  149     16,681
38  Trang                   106     15,478
39  Chumphon                82      14,645
42  Phatthalung             106     11,460
49  Krabi                   92      10,030
51  Ranong                  6       9,636
56  Satun                   74      7,074
57  Phang Nga               49      6,294

RANK    WESTERN PROVINCES   TODAY   TOTAL
12  Ratchaburi              168     40,540
23  Tak                     84      23,939
24  Phetchaburi             29      23,699
25  Kanchanaburi            41      22,992
30  Prachuap Khiri Khan     73      17,918

RANK    PRISONS             TODAY   TOTAL
5   Prisons                 169     83,556
Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe: Albert Einstein